Arianespace / ArianeGroup
European institutional launch provider. Ariane 6 heavy-lift and Vega-C from Kourou, French Guiana.
FINANCIAL HEALTH
SCHEDULE CREDIBILITY
How well this operator historically meets its own projected dates — launch NETs, company-announced roadmap milestones, and forward-dated facility plans. 100 = says what it does. Discount forward guidance accordingly.
| Source | Events | Late (share) | Median slip | Median slip, late only | Sub-score | On-time allowance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launch NETs | 2 | 1 (50%) | 1.2 d | 2.4 d | 96.3 | 1 d |
| Roadmap milestones | 4 | 0 (0%) | -124.5 d | — | 100.0 | 30 d |
WORST SLIPS (RECEIPTS)
| Commitment | Source | Announced | Outcome | Slip |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amazon Leo (LE-02) NET changed 2x | Launch NETs | 2026-04-28 | 2026-04-30 | 2.4 d |
SCI = 100 × Σ(event credit) ÷ N over the trailing 36 months (2023-07-29 → 2026-07-28). Event credit = 1.0 when the commitment met its announced date (launches: net NET slip < 1 day; roadmap milestones & facility plans: within 30 days of the announced target window — month/year-precision targets count the whole period as on-time), else 30 ÷ (30 + days late beyond that allowance). Sources are pooled, so each source weighs by its event count. Sources: launch NET-change log (LL2 ingest, tracked since 2026-04-17; flown launches in coverage + not-yet-flown launches already slipped ≥1 day; cancelled launches excluded), roadmap registry milestones (company-announced targets, verified provenance only; open milestones past target count as late by days-overdue), facility_plans rows with target_date after announced_at (filing-dated rows excluded). Confidence: high ≥20 events, medium ≥8, low ≥5; no score below 5 events. 100 = says what it does.
Window: 2023-07-29 → 2026-07-28 (36 months) · launch NET log live since 2026-04-17
FLEET COMPOSITION
Every vehicle this operator has flown. Linked profiles carry the full reliability + reuse + subsystem record.
| Vehicle | Class | Launches | Success rate | Reuse | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariane 5Eca | — | 82 | 98.8% | — | |
| Ariane 44L | — | 40 | 97.5% | — | |
| Ariane 44Lp | — | 26 | 96.2% | — | |
| Vega | — | 21 | 90.5% | — | |
| Soyuz St B | — | 18 | 94.4% | — | |
| Ariane 5G | — | 17 | 94.1% | — | |
| Ariane 44P | — | 15 | 100.0% | — | |
| Ariane 42P | — | 15 | 93.3% | — | |
| Ariane 42L | — | 13 | 100.0% | — | |
| Ariane 3 | — | 11 | 90.9% | — | |
| Soyuz St A | — | 9 | 100.0% | — | |
| Ariane 40 | — | 7 | 100.0% | — | |
| Ariane 5Gs | — | 6 | 100.0% | — | |
| Ariane 2 | — | 6 | 83.3% | — | |
| Vega-C | Small | 5 | 80.0% | Expendable | Profile → |
| Ariane 62 | — | 5 | 100.0% | — | |
| Ariane 5Es Atv | — | 5 | 100.0% | — | |
| Ariane 64 | — | 4 | 100.0% | — | |
| Ariane 5Es | — | 3 | 100.0% | — | |
| Ariane 1 | — | 3 | 100.0% | — |
RECENT LAUNCHES
| Date | Mission | Vehicle | Orbit | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 07, 2026 | Amazon Leo (LE-04) | Ariane 64 | LEO | Delayed | |
| Aug 27, 2026 | MTG-I2 | Ariane 62 | GEO | Delayed | |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Amazon Leo (LE-03) | Ariane 64 | LEO | Success | Webcast ↗ |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Amazon Leo (LE-02) | Ariane 64 | LEO | Success | Source ↗ |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Kuiper LE01-01 | Ariane 64 | — | Success | Source ↗ |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Galileo FOC FM33 | Ariane 62 | — | Success | Source ↗ |
| Dec 01, 2025 | KOMPSAT-7 | Vega-C | — | Success | Source ↗ |
| Nov 04, 2025 | Sentinel-1D | Ariane 62 | — | Success | Source ↗ |
| Aug 13, 2025 | METOP-SG A1 | Ariane 62 | — | Success | Source ↗ |
| Jul 26, 2025 | MicroCarb | Vega-C | — | Success | Source ↗ |
SECTOR POSITION
RECENT COVERAGE
| Date | Source | Headline |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 08, 2026 | NASASpaceFlight | Rocket Lab sees Electron gains, Neutron delays in first half of 2026 |
| Jul 07, 2026 | SpaceNews | Arianespace opens door to GEO rideshare opportunities from 2029 |
| Jul 01, 2026 | Spaceflight Now | ULA launches final Atlas 5 rocket supporting Amazon Leo’s broadband internet satellite constellation |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Payload Space | Europe Expands its Launch Opportunities to New Companies |
| Jun 17, 2026 | SpaceNews | Upgraded Ariane 6 launches Amazon Leo satellites |
REGISTRY DATA
Source: space_company_registry.json · Operator homepage → · Arianespace corporate homepage — confirms Ariane 6 and Vega-C launch service operations from Kourou.
METHODOLOGY
Launch history and subsystem outcomes aggregate from AstraVeris's launch_events table with Wilson 95% lower bounds on success rates. ARI scores come from the 11-factor composite (/finance/methodology/). Constellation counts derive from the live CelesTrak/GCAT object catalog. Gov contracts from USAspending.gov awards; private deals from deduplicated pipeline deal extraction. Absence of a row means "not tracked" — we never fabricate. See /methodology/ for the full data model and /data-licensing/ for licensing terms.
Not investment advice. For insurance underwriting, verify against primary-source filings and operator investigation reports.