ROSCOSMOS / RKTS PROGRESS · VEHICLE PROFILE · DATA AS OF 2026-07-28
Soyuz-2
Operational
Expendable
Medium
182
Flights
Success / Partial / Failure
97.25%
Success Rate
177/182 flights
—
Fleet Leader
No booster telemetry
Jul 19, 2026
Cadence
Last completed flight
RELIABILITY & S/PF/F SPLIT
97.25%
Overall success rate · Wilson 95% LB 93.73%
177
Success
1
Partial Failure
4
Failure
0
Scrubbed
Days since last failure3164 days
Current success streak128
Last completed flightJul 19, 2026
Methodology IP
S/PF/F split is non-negotiable methodology. Partial failures are NOT collapsed into failures. A partial (e.g. payload delivered to wrong orbit, booster lost on otherwise-successful flight) is treated as a distinct outcome for underwriting. See /methodology/.
SUBSYSTEM RELIABILITY
Per-system success rates aggregated across all flights with recorded subsystem outcomes. Systems without a row are "not tracked for this vehicle yet" — we never fabricate success.
Heat Shield
0%
S 0 · PS 0 · F 1 · N 1
RECENT FLIGHTS
| Date | Mission | Payload | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | 16 x Rassvet-3 | SSO · 8,200 kg | Success | |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Soyuz MS-29 | LEO · 7,020 kg | Success | |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Progress MS-34 | LEO · 7,020 kg | Success | |
| Apr 16, 2026 | Kosmos (Unknown Payload) | SSO · 8,200 kg | Success | |
| Apr 03, 2026 | Meridian-M No.21L | — · 8,200 kg | Success | |
| Mar 23, 2026 | 16 x Rassvet-3 | SSO · 8,200 kg | Success | |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Progress MS-33 (94P) | LEO · 8,200 kg | Success | |
| Feb 05, 2026 | EO-MKA No. 7? | — · 8,200 kg | Success | |
| Jan 01, 2026 | Rassvet-3 No. 2-01 | — · 8,200 kg | Success | |
| Dec 28, 2025 | Marafon E | — · 8,200 kg | Success |
PAYLOAD & ORBIT MIX
1.5M kg
Total mass lifted
SSO
Most-flown orbit
0% gov
Gov / commercial split
1
Crewed flights
SSO3 (50.0%)
LEO3 (50.0%)
OPERATOR CONTEXT
OperatorRoscosmos / RKTs Progress
Fleet success rate95.95%
Total fleet launches593
Vehicles operated36
REGISTRY DATA
First flight2004-11-08
Registry launches130 (as of 2025-12-31)
ClassMedium
Height46 m
Fairing diameter4.1 m
ReusabilityExpendable
List price$48.0M
Payload capacity (kg)
LEO8,200 kg
SSO4,350 kg
METHODOLOGY
Per-vehicle reliability is aggregated from the AstraVeris launch_events table with Wilson 95% lower-bound error estimates. Subsystem outcomes are extracted by a local Gemma model from primary-source articles — outcomes are never fabricated; absence of a row means "not tracked". Aspirational vehicles (not yet flown) carry registry-only metadata with explicit "Not yet flown" banners. Full specifications: /methodology/. Licensing terms: /data-licensing/.
Not investment advice. For insurance underwriting, verify against operator investigation reports.